In a recent podcast at NHS Media, Dr Qamar Cheema explores the rapidly changing landscape of global politics and examines Canada’s transformation from a confident player to a nation grappling with new challenges in the international arena.
Key Points
- Canada’s historical confidence faces challenges in adapting to modern global complexities amid shifting dynamics.
- Recent incidents underscore changing relationships and dynamics between Canada, India, and other involved nations.
- Unveiling vulnerabilities in Canada’s geopolitical stance, showcasing shifts in dynamics with India and other geopolitical players.
Dr. Qamar Cheema observed a rapid transformation in global politics, remarking on Canada’s historical perception of invulnerability due to its geographical positioning amid the Arctic, Atlantic, and Pacific oceans, and its proximity to the United States. Notably, Canada’s past alliance with America contributed to its confidence, but the country now finds itself in a complicated situation with China and India.
Recent developments indicate Canada’s growing unease with China’s alleged interference in its internal affairs, particularly concerning the Chinese military’s proximity to the South China Sea. Additionally, President Xi Jinping’s rebuke of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau during a private conversation aired publicly, adding to the strain. On the Indian front, the term “credible allegations” used after the Sikh killing in Vancouver drew ridicule from India, reflecting Canada’s fragile standing.
Dr Cheema stated that Melany Joly’s assertion about shifting global political tectonic plates underscores the evolving geopolitical landscape. Canada’s transition from a perceived “fireproof house” to a vulnerable mid-sized democracy is indicative of its foreign policy being shaped by political identity. However, the rise of authoritarian governance in global politics, exemplified by illiberal democracy in India and authoritarian rule in China, has left America perplexed in its diplomatic approaches.
He said that despite Canada’s involvement in global platforms like NATO and its status as a G7 member, the country’s influence appears to be diminishing. China and India’s perceived bullying tactics have exposed Canada to multifaceted challenges, ranging from cybersecurity threats, and economic crises, to military vulnerabilities due to its relatively weak military force.
The Canadian populace historically undervalued the importance of foreign policy, viewing it as a luxury item. However, recent incidents, including India’s expulsion of Canadian democrats and China’s detainment of Canadian nationals, reflect the increasing influence these nations wield within Canada’s borders. The purported interference by a Chinese diplomat due to a Canadian lawmaker’s connections with Hong Kong indicates China’s growing influence in Canadian affairs.
Dr Cheema is of the opinion that Canada’s pragmatic diplomacy approach is becoming increasingly untenable amid shifting global security paradigms, especially evident in its attempts to assert its presence in the Indo-Pacific. India, once perceived as a major partner, has seemingly contradicted this belief, leaving Canada with diminished influence in the region. Instances of Canadian passivity, like the bullying of a Canadian ship by China in the Indo-Pacific, underscore Canada’s limited influence in the region.
While Canada historically relied on Australia for support, Australia’s attempt to normalize ties with China indicates changing dynamics. The efficacy of pragmatic diplomacy, once a cornerstone of Canada’s foreign policy, now seems doubtful. Canada recognizes the need to foster stronger ties with India due to its significant Indian diaspora, but recent geopolitical developments indicate a loss of Canadian influence in the Indo-Pacific.
Notably, Canada’s exclusion from significant military alliances like AUKUS underscores its diminished global standing. Furthermore, America’s lack of consultation with its trans-Atlantic allies regarding Indo-Pacific strategies demonstrates the strain between America and Europe, compounded by economic, supply chain, and migration issues in Europe.
In the end, Dr. Cheema underscores the fragility of international security, asserting that only countries with robust military capabilities will thrive, while weaker nations risk compromising their self-respect. Canada’s journey from a seemingly fireproof nation to one confronting vulnerability highlights the evolving dynamics of international relations.