Key Points:
- Emerging technologies, such as artificial intelligence and cybersecurity, have the potential to significantly impact future conflicts.
- Pakistan is investing heavily in technology to bolster its military capabilities.
- Aerospace power, integrating space-based assets with aerial platforms, is expected to play a decisive role in limited conflicts.
- Encouraging public-private partnerships in technological innovation can yield significant advantages for both civilian and military domains.
NHS Media had a thought-provoking discussion with Dr. Adil Sultan, the Dean of the Faculty of Aerospace and Strategic Studies at the Area University, Islamabad. Dr. Sultan provided valuable insights into how technology is shaping the future of geopolitics, with a particular focus on India-Pakistan relations.
Dr. Sultan highlighted the transformative power of emerging technologies worldwide, encompassing artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, and space-based assets. He acknowledged that certain changes were witnessed during the 2019 crisis, with the integration of aerial platforms and the introduction of new concepts.
Regarding Pakistan’s innovation status, Dr. Sultan suggests that the country is on a learning curve but not yet on par with more developed nations in terms of advanced cyber technologies. However, he emphasized that Pakistan is investing heavily in emerging technologies, recognizing their potential significance on future battlefields.
Dr. Sultan emphasized the importance of aerospace power, referring to the integration of space-based assets with aerial platforms. While conventional land wars have become obsolete, he foresaw limited conflicts with aerospace power playing a decisive role in the outcome. He cited the 2019 crisis as a prime example where aerospace power demonstrated its impact.
Regarding the role of drones, Dr. Sultan acknowledges their cost-effectiveness and efficiency, making them attractive to militaries worldwide. He noted that Pakistan has developed its own drones and acquired some from other countries, but there is ample room for further advancement in this domain.
Dr. Sultan addressed the notion that Pakistan is considered China’s threshold ally. He highlighted the complexities of the term, suggesting that it is politically coined and not fully applicable to Pakistan. He argued that India could equally be labeled as a threshold state for the United States, considering its deep-rooted strategic partnership.
In response to recent reports suggesting India may be offered NATO membership, Dr. Sultan doubts India’s interest in formalizing such an alliance. He points out that India has traditionally maintained good relations with both Russia and China and is unlikely to commit to an alliance that could limit its diplomatic manoeuvring.
Dr. Sultan attributed Pakistan’s long-standing partnership with China’s support to the period of sanctions imposed on Pakistan. During this time, China provided necessary military equipment, filling the void left by the United States. He emphasized the importance of exploring alternate means due to the limitations imposed by US sanctions.
While discussing Pakistan’s technological innovation, Dr. Sultan advocated for a stronger public-private partnership. He believeed that investing in civilian industrial infrastructure will yield significant advantages, as many emerging technologies have dual-use purposes. Encouraging private entities to engage in research and development will lead to technological advancements, benefiting both civilian and military domains.
Dr. Adil Sultan also shed light on the critical role technology plays in shaping future conflicts between India and Pakistan. As both nations continue to invest in emerging technologies, understanding their potential implications is essential for ensuring regional stability and security. Public-private partnerships and a focus on civilian technological development will undoubtedly play pivotal roles in shaping Pakistan’s future military capabilities. As the world evolves, it is crucial for countries to adapt and harness the power of technology responsibly to address both regional and global challenges.